Hurricane Season in Florida
"Hi, My family and I are from California and we're planning to visit WDW in early September 2018, recently we've heard that is peak hurricane season in Florida. Is that something we should be worried about? Any advice would be great."
Hurricanes can be scary, kind of like these clouds - Photo by Wayne Wood
Obviously, hurricanes happen at Walt Disney World. We just found that out this last weekend with Irma. Yes. Hurricanes do come. Yes. September and October are prime hurricane season.
What does that really mean? Let me put it in terms you might understand, being from California. It's like saying, "February and March are mudslide season." That's when the rains come. That's when the mudslides happen. But, do they happen every year? Not always. Same thing with hurricanes.
Irma was the first hurricane in 12 years, to actually make landfall in Florida. Matthew last year, scraped the coast of Florida but didn't actually come ashore in Florida. So hurricanes don't happen all that regularly.
Next month Walt Disney World turns 46 years old. And, in that 46 years, Disney World has been closed five times for Hurricanes. And a couple of them, they only closed for part of a day. So, it doesn't happen all the time. You've got a one in nine, one in 10 chance of a year being effected by a hurricane. And, you don't go back before last year, it was even worse odds, 'cause it's two years in a row that they've closed due to a hurricane.
So, before last year, it was three in 45 years. So, it's one every 15 years. So, the chances of it actually hitting Orlando, yeah, it could but, the pattern, the historical pattern tells you that it's not very likely.
Would I worry about it? No. Right now, no. I would plan a trip next year, in September. Absolutely. I wouldn't think another thing about it. 'Cause the chances just are, well... They're just not that great.
Could another hurricane hit Florida next year? Sure. But Florida's a big state. Not all hurricanes that hit Florida impact Orlando. Irma just happened to be the worst case scenario. We really haven't seen that kind of track before in Florida.
Dad's Bottom Line
So, the bottom line is, do hurricanes happen? Is September and October hurricane season? Absolutely. Is that something to worry about? Not at all. The chances are not real good that it will happen next year.